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About Roger Salomone

I am EEF's Energy Adviser

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Taking the politics out of infrastructure?

Roger Salomone April 15, 2013 14:51

The need for a more strategic, less political, approach to major infrastructure decisions is gaining support.  Sir John Armitt is carrying out a review of the issue for the Opposition whilst the Government has announced that it is looking into making more use of independent expertise in shaping infrastructure policy. 

Those calling for a new approach point to a long track record of damaging prevarication and policy reversals on issues like airport capacity and nuclear power. That the UK too often tends to ‘muddle through’ rather than invest strategically and consistently for the long-term. EEF is in that camp.

From a manufacturing perspective, quality infrastructure in areas like transport, energy and communications underpins the ability to do business and compete in an increasingly globalised world. It enables firms to source raw materials and components, fuel industrial processes, get products to market and internationalise their operations.

At the heart of the problem is the ability to make and stick to decisions on long-term issues. For a number of years, the UK has repeatedly struggled to forge and sustain a political consensus on issues like airport capacity or investing in our roads. EEF believes an independent infrastructure commission, along the lines being considered by the Armitt Review, could help overcome this issue.

Such a body could institutionalise the benefits of independent analysis and an apolitical perspective that commissions can bring to bear on complex and long-term issues. The Turner Commission, for example, has helped forge a political consensus on pensions’ policy. However, for such a body to be acceptable and effective, two key criteria would need to be met.

First, the new body would need to be strictly advisory, with decisions remaining firmly with politicians. Major infrastructure decisions often involve getting the balance right between competing objectives, such as trade-offs between economic and environmental considerations.  A lack of legitimacy would hinder rather than help build and sustain a stable approach to controversial issues.   

Second, the commission would have to have the right of initiative. It would be hamstrung from tackling politically controversial but pressing issues were it only able to deliver advice at the request of government on an agenda set by the government. To be effective, it would need the power to initiate inquiries into subjects of its own choosing at a time of its own choosing.

 

Aviation infrastructure risks becoming drag on exports

Roger Salomone April 08, 2013 12:30

Last week we published the findings of our first major survey on transport issues. There was a clear message from manufacturers on aviation policy. Air links underpin export-led growth, but the UK’s infrastructure needs investment to remain attractive to exporters.

The international connectivity provided by air links is vital to exports and manufacturing accounts for half of UK exports. Outward-looking manufacturers place a premium on quality aviation infrastructure. The majority of manufacturers for whom exports account for more than half of turnover say that aviation infrastructure is critical to their business. It’s easy to understand why.

First, air freight carries 40% of the UK’s exports of goods and commodities by value. It is particularly important for high-value, low weight, products in growth markets such as optical, electronic and medical equipment. 

Second, our survey provides clear evidence that the more a manufacturing business exports, the more important aviation infrastructure is to growth-related activities like identifying new business opportunities, deciding where to invest and building relationships with customers.

We need to give these export-intensive businesses every reason to locate and expand in the UK. And world-class air links is a key consideration for them. Unfortunately, the current state of the UK’s aviation infrastructure is acting as a barrier to their operations and growth plans.

Three-quarters view it as an impediment to building and sustaining relationships with customers, whilst more than half believe it gets in the way of managing their supply chains and moving their products. Crucially, more than a third see it as a barrier to investing in the UK.

So it is vital that the Airports Commission, the independent body established to look at the UK’s capacity needs, takes full account of the importance of aviation to the UK’s long-term growth prospects and the government’s target to double the nation’s exports to £1tn by 2020.

EEF will be making the case loud and clear.

Time to up the ante on roads and airports

Roger Salomone April 02, 2013 11:16

EEF’s first transport survey shows that the UK’s stretched infrastructure risks undermining efforts to rebalance the economy and hit the government’s target to double exports to £1tn a year by 2020. We urgently need to take the politics out of infrastructure, reassess our investment priorities and be bolder on the big issues like airport capacity and funding our road network.

Never has investment in infrastructure been more important. With the UK stagnating and global competition intensifying, investing in the nation’s transport network will give the economy a shot in the arm today and help lay the foundations for our competitiveness tomorrow. Quality infrastructure lowers the cost of doing business, helps attract inward investment and provides access to international markets.

The road network is the backbone of the economy, but it has been neglected. Four-fifths of manufacturers identify it as business-critical. From moving goods and raw materials to accessing labour and running a lean production model, roads underpin their ability to do business.

But high levels of congestion on key arteries and the poor maintenance of many local roads are adversely impacting operations. More than half of firms report significantly increased operating costs and nearly a third a loss of productivity as a result.

Aviation helps connect the UK to the global marketplace. This makes it crucial to an export-intensive sector with a significant proportion of foreign ownership like manufacturing. So we must invest in airport capacity where it is needed to ensure that the UK can continue to compete for overseas business and attract inward investment.

Three-quarters of export-intensive manufacturers identify aviation infrastructure as important to identifying new business opportunities. Half of foreign-owned firms say it is a key factor in deciding where to invest.

Getting transport policy behind efforts to grow the economy means tackling some long-standing issues. Chief amongst them are political prevarication, skewed investment priorities and a lack of ambition.

Step one is avoiding the endless political prevarication and policy reversals that dog major infrastructure issues. Policy must be placed on a more strategic footing by establishing an independent infrastructure commission. An independent and apolitical body tasked with identifying the nation’s long-term needs would help establish, forge and sustain a political consensus on infrastructure major issues.

Step two is getting our investment priorities right. A greater share of public spending on transport infrastructure should be allocated to roads and targeted at projects that provide a significant and timely boost. These include maintenance and bringing forward upgrades to heavily congested arteries that provide access to international gateways such as major ports.

Step three is being bolder and acting faster. In many areas of transport infrastructure, the scale of investment required and the consequences of failing to deliver are significant. All options for funding investment in the road network, including road pricing, should be considered. The timetable for the independent commission set up to look into airport capacity must be accelerated. A final report this side of the next election is essential to giving the next government a clear mandate for taking forward its favoured option.

In EEF’s opinion, there is a strong case for allowing investment in additional runway capacity at Heathrow - it is the most viable way to maintain the UK’s status as a global aviation hub. Much of the infrastructure and transport links are already in place, making it easier to fund without recourse to the hard-pressed taxpayer than construction of a brand new airport.

Energy Policy: Wrong Signal, Wrong Time

Roger Salomone March 28, 2013 11:22

The latest data on industrial electricity prices make grim reading for UK manufacturing. This makes it all the more troubling that the government announced yesterday that it expects its green policies to ratchet prices up significantly over the coming years.

Official statistics released today show a widening gap between UK and EU industrial electricity prices.  In the second half of last year, medium-sized firms were paying 11% more than the EU average, up from a 3% premium in the previous six months.

The competitiveness gap for the UK’s largest industrial consumers is even more alarming, doubling from 15% in the first half of last year to 30% in the second.

Looking further afield, industrial electricity prices in the UK are now roughly double those in the US.

If the situation today wasn’t bad enough, the government announced yesterday that it expects its policies will be pushing up business electricity prices by 50% in 2020 and by 70% in 2030. This sends the worst possible message at the worst possible time.

With the economy continuing to flat-line, we urgently need businesses to invest, grow and create jobs. Yet for manufacturers deciding where to make their next investment, the direction that electricity prices are going in can only weaken the case for doing it in the UK.

In a recent survey of our members, a third said that more competitive energy prices were among the top three things that would make the UK a more attractive place to invest.

To avoid stymieing future investment, the government urgently needs to get a better grip on spiralling policy costs. Over the past 18 months, there have been some encouraging signs that the affordability and competitiveness of energy prices is being taken more seriously. The commitment to compensate the most energy intensive industries for some policy costs is an example.  But there is clearly much more work to be done.

The place to start is taking a long, hard look at policies like the ‘carbon price floor’, a steeply rising and unilateral tax on fossil fuel generation that comes into effect next week. Unlike direct support for cleaner sources of power like nuclear and renewables, which also push up prices, the environmental merits of this policy are highly questionable. There is a strong risk that it simply displaces investment and emissions overseas without cleaning up UK power generation.

Tags:

energy | Growth

Look before you LEP ...

Roger Salomone February 13, 2013 17:02

The government has identified LEPs as the main vehicle for its commitment to devolve more control over spending in areas like skills and transport from 2015. More details are expected at the Budget and the Spending Review that will follow shortly afterwards.

This is a big issue. Lord Heseltine has proposed that the ‘pot’ of money devolved be in the region of £60bn. That’s more than five times the £10.8bn the budget of the Regional Development Agencies and more than twenty times as much as the £2.6bn Regional Growth Fund. Whilst there are undoubtedly potential benefits to making public spending more responsive to local needs, these are big decisions that seem to be being taken very quickly and with little consultation of stakeholders.

So safeguards must be built into the process to ensure that public money is used effectively and that services and infrastructure vital to business, like transport and skills, are not adversely affected.     

First, there must be clear evidence that devolving control over funding delivers better value for money. There may be a strong case for giving LEPs responsibility in some areas of spending, in others, such as skills, the evidence points the other way and a national focus must be retained.  

Second, LEPs must demonstrate the capability to take on significant new responsibilities. Some are legal entities that are well-established, well-resourced and well-connected to local businesses. Many others are still finding their feet, have minimal resources, limited engagement with local businesses and remain dependent on local authorities for receiving and distributing funding.

Finally, control should be devolved gradually. Rather than moving immediately to multi-year, competitive, allocations of tens of billions of pounds, to begin with limited funds in a small number of spending areas should be transferred to LEPs. Progressively larger sums, across a broader range of spending areas, could then be devolved over time as LEPs prove their value.

Tags:

Growth | localism

Localism agenda needs close scrutiny

Roger Salomone January 28, 2013 15:39

Last autumn EEF gave a cautious response to the headline recommendation in Lord Heseltine’s review of growth policy – the idea of consolidating central government funding for local spending in areas like infrastructure, skills and business support and allocating it directly to local areas on a competitive basis.

We acknowledged the potential benefits of devolving spending decisions to the communities they impact, but cautioned that it may not be appropriate in some areas, such as skills, and that local organisations would need to be up to the task of bidding for and taking on significant new spending responsibilities.

Things have moved on since last autumn. The government’s has endorsed the proposal by committing to devolve a greater proportion of growth-related spending from April 2015.

It has also clearly suggested that it envisions LEPs as the bodies that will compete for money from the ‘single pot’ by saying that it will devolve spending on the basis of the growth strategies it has tasked them with developing.

This raises some serious some questions. Two sets of questions stand out. First, what areas of spending would actually benefit from being devolved to LEPs? Second, what happens in parts of the country that fail to secure any funding?

What will be the criteria for deciding which areas of spending should be devolved? There are doubtless some areas where putting LEPs in charge could lead to better outcomes. However, there are other areas, such as skills, where it might be counterproductive.

The Richards Review of apprenticeships seems to have finally pointed the government in the right direction on skills. Involving another, unproven, intermediary in the process, risks undermining the employer-led approach it recommends.  

Heseltine has proposed running competitions for local funding every five years starting in 2015. This begs the question of what happens to the provision of services like business support and transport in areas that fail to secure funding? Are they left to wither for half a decade? Or, would some alternative, basic, funding be available?

The government will need to start answering these questions, and a host of others, if it is to commit to major devolution in spending decisions as part the upcoming Spending Review.

Government keeps infrastructure cards close to chest

Roger Salomone December 14, 2012 14:49

Now that the dust has settled on last week’s Autumn Statement, it’s worth spending a moment reflecting on what the much trailed infrastructure announcements reveal about the government's priorities.

The £5bn infrastructure package was billed as a step change in the government's growth strategy. But does the pre-Christmas package of goodies actually fit this billing?

From a growth perspective, the attraction of investing in infrastructure is largely two-fold – it helps make the UK a more attractive place to invest in over time and gives the construction industry a shot in the arm in the here and now.

The £1.5bn allocated to the road network fits the bill. It’s a mix of funding for road maintenance that will provide a quick boost for the economy and targeted investment in major bottlenecks that will make a real difference to businesses dependent on these routes.

Other elements of the package, however, are much harder to explain as part of a growth strategy. The biggest single recipient of support is the project to extend the London Underground’s Northern line to Battersea, which will have a £1bn loan underwritten by the taxpayer.

Whilst this is undoubtedly an important project for London and the Malaysian property developers who recently bought the Battersea Power Station site, it’s not the most obvious starting place for a national growth strategy.  

Another case in point is the £120m for flood defences. The social and environmental credentials of this investment may be impeccable, but billing it as an investment in growth seems a stretch.

The more one looks into the infrastructure announcements, the more they look like a mixed bag trying to fulfil a range of policy objectives rather than a coherent and targeted package focused on growth.

This vindicates the widespread view that the Autumn Statement in general contained a lot of good individual measures but didn’t quite add up to a clear and completely convincing national growth strategy.

At the very least, the jury is certainly still out on whether growth is the overriding objective of the government’s infrastructure policy. Let's hope that its transport strategy, which has been pushed back till Spring next year, shows a clearer commitment to growth.

Tags:

Growth

ENERGY POLICY MOVING IN RIGHT DIRECTION?

Roger Salomone November 29, 2012 14:58

A week of major energy policy announcements has culminated in the publication of the long-awaited Energy Bill today. Taken together, they lay the foundations for the more stable and affordable energy policy that the UK has been lacking for a number of years.

For investors, there is unprecedented long-term clarity over how much support will be available for low carbon electricity. The government has set out how much money will be on offer up to 2020.  There will always be calls for greater clarity, but this is much further than any other government has gone before.

On the divisive issue of a 2030 decarbonisation target, the government has plotted a constructive way through fierce political cross-fire. It will introduce a power into the Bill to set a flexible target through secondary legislation. Whilst the decision on whether or not to exercise the power will only be taken after the next election, this represents another step towards longer term energy policy.

For industrial consumers, the government aims to contain the impact of green policies on industrial competitiveness by capping the overall level of subsidies for low carbon generators. This is a decisive break from the open cheque book policy of the past decade

Keeping any decarbonisation target flexible will reduce the risk that the UK locks itself into an overly costly energy policy. We simply don’t know today the most-cost effective mix of technologies for tomorrow.

The commitment to exempt the most energy intensive industries from the price impact of decarbonising the UK’s electricity supply shows an ambition to provide a more level playing field for companies whose international competitiveness is being seriously undermined by the UK’s green policies

However, the detail matters and will determine whether a more investor-friendly and affordable policy is delivered in practice. So EEF will be holding the government to account on a number of key issues.

First, we will continue to press for a 2030 decarbonisation target to be established as soon as possible. This will help make the UK an even more attractive place to invest in clean technologies and will provide a clear objective for the major market intervention that the government has embarked on. 

Second, there needs to be a clear plan for restoring competition in the market. The government needs to set out and commit to a clear and ambitious timetable for moving to a more competitive approach to low carbon power where the market, rather than politicians, sets prices.

Third, the same long-term vision being brought to energy policy must be given to energy-intensive industries. The government must commit to extending the existing compensation package for climate change policies beyond 2015 and ensure that the exemption from the cost of decarbonising electricity announced today provides adequate protection for all industries that need it.

Finally, looking ahead to the gas strategy due out next week, the government has another opportunity to demonstrate that it is committed to a balanced energy policy.

Further switching from coal to gas can deliver substantial emission cuts. Whilst developing the nation’s shale gas resources could enhance our energy security and help contain energy prices rises. 

So the strategy must send a clear signal that gas still has a major role to play in our energy mix in the decades ahead.  

LEPs Remain On Probation

Roger Salomone November 05, 2012 15:30

A central theme in Lord Heseltine’s sprawling review of growth policy, published last week, is the need to empower local enterprise partnerships (LEPs). But the jury is still out on how big a role they can and should play going forward.

Heseltine’s most radical idea is consolidating central funding for local spending on areas such as skills, infrastructure and regeneration into a single £50bn+ pot that LEPs would bid into on competitive basis every five years.

There’s a lot to be said for the idea. Replacing hand-outs with competition can deliver better value for money. The UK’s piecemeal local funding arrangements need simplification. And local communities are often best placed to understand their own needs.

But £50bn is a lot of taxpayers’ money to entrust to fledgling voluntary organisations whose performance has been patchy and who continue to divide opinion.

Supporters see them as the ultimate expression of the government’s once much-vaunted ‘localism’ agenda – partnerships of equals between local authorities and businesses coming together to take control of their own destinies.   

Detractors, however, seem them as toothless successors to the Regional Development Agencies that lack the authority and organisational resources to drive local economies.

LEPs have had a good couple of months. In September, the government committed to providing them with core funding for their organisational capabilities. Last month they enjoyed unprecedented success in the third round of the Regional Growth Fund, securing a third of the money on offer.

But it is the next couple of years which will determine their future. They are in the shop window and will need to prove they are up to the task of a bigger role and more financial responsibility.

How they use the money available to them between now and the next election will determine whether there is an appetite to give them anywhere near the authority and scale of resources that Heseltine believes they should have.

Effectively, they are on probation.

Tags:

Growth | localism

ENERGY POLICY NEEDS SENSIBLE TARGET

Roger Salomone October 10, 2012 12:11

Ahead of the publication of the Energy Bill, an increasingly heated and polarised debate is playing out about whether or not the UK should adopt a 2030 decarbonisation target as part of ongoing electricity market reforms.

This is a critical issue for manufacturing, which is integral to building a low carbon economy and has already made significant strides to cut emissions. Reforms need to strike a careful balance between driving investment in cleaner technologies and keeping energy prices affordable.

One side of the debate fears that without a stretching target hardwired directly into the legislation we won’t get the investment we need in low carbon technologies.

Whilst the other is concerned that a target would risk damaging the economy by unnecessarily driving energy prices for hard pressed consumers.

There’s an element of truth in both arguments, but we need to get away from an unnecessarily polarised debate. A middle ground which can address the concerns of both sides exists.

In keeping with our vision of industrial strategy, EEF believes that a clear statement of ambition and vision for the UK’s energy system, in the form of a target, will help drive investment in low-carbon technologies and provide a yardstick against which to measure the success of government policies. That’s why we called for a 2030 energy decarbonisation target in our December 2011 Green and Growth report.

But the wrong kind of target risks pushing the UK down a route that needlessly drives up electricity prices for households and businesses.

For example, should current assumptions about the development of carbon capture technology, the level of investment in nuclear power, the cost of offshore wind or the future price of gas prove wrong the UK could end up committed to an unrealistic and extremely costly target.

So retaining flexibility is paramount.

Energy policy has to contend with a range of factors that are difficult to predict far in advance, such as the pace of technological change and the future price of fuels. A fixed target would make the UK and its households and businesses a hostage to fortune.

A well-designed target can strike the right balance between the needs of investors and consumers.

The forthcoming Energy Bill should include a requirement to set a target, but the target itself should sit outside primary legislation, be grounded in robust analysis of what is achievable and affordable and subject to regular review like carbon budgets.

The Committee on Climate Change and the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee have recommended solutions along these lines. Now is the time for a constructive debate and balanced decision.

 

Disclaimer
This is an informal blog about manufacturing and the economy written by EEF's policy and representation staff. While it is written from an EEF perspective, contributions should not be taken as formal statements of EEF policy, unless stated otherwise. Nor does it cover all the issues on which we campaign - you can check these out in more detail at our main site.

We welcome and encourage comments, but we reserve the right to remove any that are offensive or irrelevant. We are not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

About EEF

EEF helps manufacturing businesses evolve and compete.  We provide business services that make them more efficient and management intelligence that helps them plan.  Our work with government encourages policies that make it easy for them to operate, innovate and grow.

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