Blog

EEF blog

Insights into uk manufacturing - the real economy

Technical details of the recession

Jeegar Kakkad February 26, 2009 16:33

I haven't seen it reported anywhere, but the recession in the UK is almost one year old.

Looking at the details of the GDP numbers released yesterday, you'll see that the economy actually contracted in the second quarter of 2008. Previously, the data showed the economy basically had stalled in the second quarter...now they suggest a small decline, but technically, that dates beginning of the recession to last spring.

MPC member David Blanchflower guessed as much in a speech in January of this year, but we only got official confirmation yesterday.

Of course, for business, it doesn't matter when the recession started, but when will it end. Ultimately, that depends on sorting out the banking crisis and restoring confidence to business and households. 

But don't ask me when that's likely to happen. I'm just an economist.

Disclaimer
This is an informal blog about manufacturing and the economy written by EEF's policy and representation staff. While it is written from an EEF perspective, contributions should not be taken as formal statements of EEF policy, unless stated otherwise. Nor does it cover all the issues on which we campaign - you can check these out in more detail at our main site.

We welcome and encourage comments, but we reserve the right to remove any that are offensive or irrelevant. We are not responsible for the content of external internet sites.

About EEF

EEF helps manufacturing businesses evolve and compete.  We provide business services that make them more efficient and management intelligence that helps them plan.  Our work with government encourages policies that make it easy for them to operate, innovate and grow.

Find out more at www.eef.org.uk